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find Author "雷莉媛" 2 results
  • 6389例晚期腹部恶性肿瘤患者住院费用分析

    目的了解各种晚期腹部恶性肿瘤患者住院费用,分析影响住院费用的因素。 方法调查2013年1月-12月出院成人晚期腹部恶性肿瘤患者6 389例住院费用及治疗方案。 结果腹部恶性肿瘤以直肠、胃和结肠为主;平均住院费用为(11 240.62±9 123.41)元,肾脏恶性肿瘤住院费用最高,其次为肝脏;介入治疗及放射治疗明显增加了患者住院费用,而同时接受介入化学疗法及放射治疗患者住院费用最高。 结论成人晚期腹部恶性肿瘤造成了较高的疾病负担,不同器官的肿瘤导致治疗方案的不同是其主要影响因素。

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  • Construction and application of combination forecasting model for human resources in a large public hospital

    ObjectiveTo understand the current status of healthcare human resources (HHR) in a large public hospital, predict the HHR demand aligned with the development of the hospital, and provide reference basis and feasible solutions for HHR planning for high-quality development of the large public hospital. MethodsBased on grey model and auto regressive integrated moving average model, a variance reciprocal method for weight allocation was applied to set up the combination forecasting model. Different types of HHR demand of the large public hospital from 2024 to 2026 were predicted and the accuracies of the three different model predictions were compared. ResultsThe numbers of total personnel, health technical personnel, physicians, nurses, and technicians predicted by the combination forecasting model for 2026 were 17654, 13041, 4389, 6198, and 2264, respectively. The corresponding average annual growth rates from 2024 to 2026 were 5.54%, 5.55%, 5.37%, 4.27%, and 5.60%, respectively. Compared with the two single forecasting models, the combination forecasting model had the smallest average absolute errors, mean squared errors, and mean absolute percentage errors for predicting the numbers of total personnel, nurses, and technicians. It also had the smallest average absolute error and mean absolute percentage error for predicting the number of health technical personnel, and the smallest average absolute error for predicting the number of physicians. ConclusionsCompared with the single forecasting model, the combination forecasting model shows fewer system errors and better predictive results. The demand for total personnel, health technical personnel, physicians, nurses, and technicians of this large public hospital will continue to increase, so planning and reserving staff in advance is a key to high-quality development of the hospital.

    Release date:2024-12-27 02:33 Export PDF Favorites Scan
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